As part of this takeover, Bell would be acquiring some of the television channels and radio networks currently owned by Astral Media. This deal, for a ballpark sum of $3 billion, would move Bell’s share of the French-language television market to 22.6%, while enjoying a 35.8% share of the English-language market, as per the CRTC (http://crtc.gc.ca/eng/com100/2013/r130627.htm). The Commission assures Canadians that this will still allow for a competitive landscape and not impede the interests of consumers (the little ones, like you and me).
If there is one thing we can learn
by looking through the history of large industry consolidations and/or mergers,
however, we find that they do not often result in a sweetened deal for the
little guy. Of course, the CRTC approval does include some conditions which
will restrict any monopolizing agendas by Bell and, fortunately, require them
to also invest in Canadian-specific content and youth initiatives.
Once the dust settles on this
deal and Bell has integrated Astral, I expect this to be a value-adding
proposition. Gaining such a considerable share of the market will allow Bell to
have greater control over their content and essentially broaden their media
asset portfolio.
What does all of this mean to the
astute dividend investor? A more secure income stream as Bell will have more
assets to rely on to smooth revenues and assist in growth. It will also lessen Bell’s
exposure to wireless where it already competes heavily with Rogers and Telus
(TSX: T). My hope as an investor is that this will be accretive to Bell’s
earnings from the get-go and spur further dividend growth down the line.
I am encouraged by Bell’s ability
to put large sums of cash to work in this environment where companies have been
sitting on the sidelines waiting for more political and economic certainty. In
an age where companies often perform takeovers in unrelated industries for the
sake of growth itself, I believe this deal actually makes a lot of sense.
Full Disclosure: Long BCE.
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